Has Google’s growth matured? Is Google’s supernormal growth phase behind us? It is quite possible as suggested by the trend in the growth rates. Google is now one-third the size of Microsoft and one-fifth of IBM. For a company that was incorporated only 11 years ago - growing to such a size is amazing. Continuing to show such phenomenal growth is not sustainable in long term. If Google can grow by more than 25% in next 4-5 years it would be a significant achievement. A growth rate more than that will require entering into other related businesses. Google has done it in past and is very capable of doing it in future. With plans of entering into the Operating System business which has Microsoft's dominance, Google has a huge potential opportunity which if it can unleash will help it grow even faster.
Jul 19, 2009
Is the era of supernormal growth for Google Inc over?
Has Google’s growth matured? Is Google’s supernormal growth phase behind us? It is quite possible as suggested by the trend in the growth rates. Google is now one-third the size of Microsoft and one-fifth of IBM. For a company that was incorporated only 11 years ago - growing to such a size is amazing. Continuing to show such phenomenal growth is not sustainable in long term. If Google can grow by more than 25% in next 4-5 years it would be a significant achievement. A growth rate more than that will require entering into other related businesses. Google has done it in past and is very capable of doing it in future. With plans of entering into the Operating System business which has Microsoft's dominance, Google has a huge potential opportunity which if it can unleash will help it grow even faster.
Contributed by FinManAc at 10:12 AM 0 comments
Labels: Corporate World News, Finance, Google, Internet, Results, revenue growth
Jul 12, 2009
Huge write downs (~ £21 billion) waiting for Lloyds Banking Group
The UK Government has invested £50bn so far in Lloyds and RBS, but that could rise when Lloyds joins the asset protection scheme. At present, the state's stakes are worth £7.5bn and £14.3bn. Notably, UK Financial Investments (UKFI), the agency that manages the stakes for the Treasury, holds a majority stake in the company (43 per cent of Lloyds) following the government support. This holding could rise even higher, as the bank issue shares to insure its bad loans with the Government. However, the Treasury is hoping that it can recover its investment, although it may have to wait for some more time. When things will improve, UKFI plans to sell its stake and return the bank to the private sector. Any such share sale will have to be spread over several years in order to prevent huge share inflow into the system.
In 2008, Lloyds had acquired HBOS for about £12 billion. The deal was backed out by UK government to prevent collapse of the banking system. However, Lloyds shareholders saw wealth erosion after a £15 billion 'black hole' was discovered in HBOS accounts. Many of the Lloyds shareholders’ are skeptical of a possible government-bank nexus behind this deal as they lose a huge portion of their holdings (about 85 per cent). Furious Lloyds shareholders have demanded transcripts of secret negotiations between Mr Brown and the bank's chairman Sir Victor Blank last July and September.
About Lloyds Banking Group plc
Lloyds TSB Group plc was renamed Lloyds Banking Group plc on 19 January 2009, following the acquisition of HBOS plc. The group owns the Lloyds TSB brand which is one of the largest retail bank in the UK brand and came into existence in 1995 by the merger of Lloyds Bank and the Trustee Savings Bank (TSB Bank).
Under the UK government Asset Protection Scheme announced on March 7 Lloyds has to provide a total of £14 billion of additional lending in the period up to 1 March 2010 to boost the spending and investment activities which could be vital in avoiding a prolonged recession.
Contributed by FinManAc at 12:44 AM 0 comments
Labels: Banks, Financial Institutions, Lloyds Banking group, Lloyds TSB Bank, UK Banking
Jul 10, 2009
A bit of history of economic crises
We all know about the great depression in the early 1930s, but I was actually surprised by the number of recessions in the world since. Here are the major ones:
1. Latin America's woes
Latin America has long endured economic problems like currency crises, hyperinflation, banking failures etc. The lack of prudent governance and macroeconomic populism continued till 1980s, when the economic reforms were introduced. These measures included:
- State - owned firms were privatized
- Import restrictions lifted
- Budget deficits trimmed, inflation became a priority
- Impending devaluation of Mexican pesos not handled well
- High government spendings and
- Wide spread corruption and dollar-loan exposure
2. Japan's downturn
Japan suffered laggard economic growth and recessions in the most of the 1990s (also known as the lost decade. The crisis started in Japan in 1989-90 and the reasons were:
- Loose financial regulation, bad debts.
- Bubble in stock markets and real estate from 1986-1990
3. South East Asia's crash
South Asia till late 1990s was a tremendous success story. The region saw extended economic growth and was a role model for many. All that changed in 1997 when the many south Asian economies were caught in a currency crisis: Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and South Korea to be precise. Again economists disagree over exact reasons for this crisis, generally the following factors are considered to be the culprit:
- Started with currency collapse of Thai Baht, which was long under attack from speculators and hedge funds. Government finally floated Baht leading to its fall.
- Crony capitalism where in these economies there was a collusion between government and big business players.
- These economies had relatively free markets and light regulation, which led them vulnerable to the vagaries of foreign investors.
- This crisis led to slumping currencies, stock market devaluations and precipitous private debt
Also known as the dot com bust, happenned in 2001. There was a considerable bubble in the stock markets of western economies from 1996-2001. The bubble was caused by inflated valuations of stock markets, especially internet and technology related firms. These firms in turn had flawed business models, where in all of them were rooting for growth over profits working under the assumption that finally profits will come once the markets are captured.
Contributed by Ankur at 1:58 PM 0 comments
Labels: Asian Financial Crisis, Crisis, Economics, Great Depression, Internet Bubble, recession
May 10, 2009
Results of Stress tests - who sailed through and who needs more capital
Here's the summary of results:
Bank | Additional capital needed (billion dollars) |
AmEx | 0 |
BofA | 33.9 |
BB&T | 0 |
BNYM | 0 |
CapOne | 0 |
Citi | 5.5 |
FifthThird | 1.1 |
GMAC | 11.5 |
Goldman Sachs | 0 |
JPMC | 0 |
KeyCorp | 1.8 |
MetLife | 0 |
Morgan Stanley | 1.8 |
PNC | 0.6 |
Regions | 2.5 |
State Street | 0 |
SunTrust | 2.2 |
US Bancorp | 0 |
Wells Fargo | 13.7 |
Total | 74.6 |
Contributed by FinManAc at 10:43 AM 0 comments
Labels: Bank Failure, Bank Holding Companies, Bank of America, Banking Events, Financial Crisis, Financial Institutions, recession, Stress Test, US Banks
Top 10 Hedge fund management firms by assets under management
Bridgewater Associates | 1 |
JPMorgan | 2 |
Paulson & Co. | 3 |
D. E. Shaw | 4 |
Brevan Howard | 5 |
Och-Ziff Capital Management | 6 |
Man AHL | 7 |
Soros Fund Management | 8 |
Goldman Sachs | 9 |
Renaissance Technologies | 10 |
Contributed by FinManAc at 10:37 AM 4 comments
Labels: Assets under management, hedge, hedge funds, ranking, Top 10, World
Hedge Fund Industry size falls sharply in last one year
The fall in assets size is partly due to trading losses and partly due to investors pulling out money from these funds.
These are the data from Hedge Fund Research (HFR) as available on in the publicly available news articles across the internet. Due to the ambiguity of the breadth of the hedge fund and the voluntary nature of data disclosure these may be different from those published by other research firms.
Contributed by FinManAc at 8:11 AM 0 comments
Labels: Assets under management, AUM, Fund of funds, hedge funds, Trend
Top 10 global financial centres
The GFCI is published by City of London Corporation every March. The full report by GFCI can be found at ZYEN.
Rank | GFCI rating | |
London | 1 | 781 |
New York | 2 | 768 |
Singapore | 3 | 687 |
Hong Kong | 4 | 684 |
Zurich | 5 | 659 |
Geneva | 6 | 638 |
Chicago | 7 | 638 |
Frankfurt | 8 | 633 |
Boston | 9 | 618 |
Dublin | 10 | 618 |
London, the financial hub of the world, has been at the helm since long time. London, also the banking centre of the world, has headquarters of more than 100 of European's 500 biggest companies.
Contributed by FinManAc at 7:37 AM 0 comments
Labels: Cities, finance hub, Financial Centres, Financial Services, Global, London, Top 10
The rise and fall and rise of oil prices
Contributed by FinManAc at 6:20 AM 0 comments
Labels: Brent, Crude Oil, Dollars per barrel, Oil Price, Peak Oil, U.S.
May 8, 2009
India's most reputable companies - 2009 Forbes ranking
In the list there were following 17 Indian companies with Tata group at the helm:
Company | Global Rank | Industry |
Tata | 11 | Conglomerate |
State Bank of India | 29 | Banking |
Infosys Technologies | 39 | Computer |
Larsen & Toubro | 47 | Construction/Engineering |
Maruti Udyog | 49 | Automotive |
Hindustan Unilever | 69 | Consumer Products |
ITC Limited | 95 | Conglomerate |
Canara Bank | 102 | Banking |
Hindustan Petroleum | 111 | Energy |
Indian Oil | 112 | Energy |
Wipro | 116 | Computer |
Reliance Group | 132 | Conglomerate |
Mahindra & Mahindra | 137 | Automotive |
Bharti Airtel . | 163 | Telecommunications |
Bank of Baroda | 174 | Banking |
Bharat Petroleum | 175 | Energy |
Punjab National Bank | 177 | Banking |
Source: Forbes
Contributed by FinManAc at 12:21 PM 0 comments
Labels: Corporate Events, Forbes, India, ranking, reputable companies
May 6, 2009
Bank of America needs 34 billion USD to pass Fed's stress test
Contributed by FinManAc at 8:56 AM 1 comments
Labels: Assets, Bank of America, BofA, Capital Adequacy, Capital Requirement, Fed, Federal Reserve, SCAP, Shareholder's Equity, US economy
May 5, 2009
Small banks continue to fail in US
1. America West Bank, Layton
3. Silverton Bank, N.A., Atlanta
The news was updated on FDIC's website on 5th May. The biggest of the three is Silverton with about 4 billion assets. The bank, on its website, has put up the following notice:"Silverton Bank, N.A. is participating in the FDIC's Transaction Account Guarantee Program. Under that program, all noninterest-bearing transaction accounts are fully guaranteed by the FDIC for the entire amount in the account through December 31, 2009. Coverage under the Transaction Account Guarantee Program is in addition to and separate from the coverage available under the FDIC's general deposit insurance rules. Accounts that sweep into overnight Fed Funds are not considered non-interest bearing; therefore, they will not be covered under the FDIC’s Transaction Account Guarantee Program."
FDIC has created a bridge bank, Silverton Bridge Bank, to take over the operations of Silverton Bank. The bank will start its regular business from July 29, 2009.
The depositors will have the first priority followed by creditors and shareholders.
Details on the deposit insurance and other bank failure related information can be assessed from FDIC's website.
Top Bank holding companies in US by total domestic deposits
Bank Name | Deposits (Jun 2008) billion $ |
BoA Corp | 701.5 |
JP Morgan Chase | 497.2 |
Wachovia | 422.0 |
Wells Fargo | 293.4 |
Citigroup | 271.3 |
US Bancorp | 127.8 |
Suntrust Bank | 115.6 |
National City Corp | 97.8 |
RBS | 95.3 |
Toronto-Dominion Bank | 89.8 |
Of these the last two were foreign banks. In all there were 12 foreign banks in the top 50 list.
Bank Name | Deposits (Jun 2008) billion $ | |
1 | RBS Group | 95.3 |
2 | Toronto-Dominion Bank | 89.8 |
3 | HSBC Holdings | 83.0 |
4 | Banco Santander | 53.8 |
5 | BNP Paribas | 43.9 |
6 | Mitsubishi UFJ | 42.0 |
7 | BBVA | 39.4 |
8 | Allied Irish Bank | 36.5 |
9 | Bank of Montreal | 29.1 |
10 | UBS | 24.4 |
11 | Royal Bank of Canada | 17.8 |
12 Source: | Deutsche Bank FDIC | 15.2 |
Contributed by FinManAc at 11:41 AM 0 comments
Labels: Bank, Bank Holding Companies, Banking, Deposits, FDIC, Finance, Top 10
May 4, 2009
47 Indian companies in Forbes 2000 List
Company | Sector |
Reliance Industries | Oil & Gas Operations |
SBI | Banking |
ONGC | Oil & Gas Operations |
IOCL | Oil & Gas Operations |
NTPC | Utilities |
ICICI Bank | Banking |
Tata Steel | Materials |
Bharti Airtel | Telecommunications |
SAIL | Materials |
Reliance Communications | Telecommunications Services |
L&T | Capital Goods |
BPCL | Oil & Gas Operations |
BHEL | Capital Goods |
HDFC | Banking |
TCS | Software & Services |
Hindalco Industries | Materials |
HDFC Bank | Banking |
DLF | Diversified Financials |
Infosys Technologies | Software & Services |
Punjab National Bank | Banking |
ITC | Food, Drink & Tobacco |
Wipro | Software & Services |
Bank of India | Banking |
HPCL | Oil & Gas Operations |
GAIL (India) | Utilities |
NMDC | Materials |
Canara Bank | Banking |
Power Grid of India | Utilities |
Tata Motors | Capital Goods |
Bank of Baroda | Banking |
Power Finance | Finance |
Axis Bank | Banking |
Union Bank of India | Banking |
Grasim Industries | Construction |
Indian Overseas Bank | Banking |
Sun Pharma Industries | Drugs & Biotechnology |
Mahindra & Mahindra | Consumer Durables |
Allahabad Bank | Banking |
Indian Bank | Banking |
Syndicate Bank | Banking |
IDBI Bank | Banking |
Central Bank of India | Banking |
Jindal Steel & Power | Materials |
National Aluminium | Materials |
Oriental Bank of Commerce | Banking |
UCO Bank | Banking |
Hero Honda Motors | Consumer Durables |
Rank | Companies | Sales (b $) |
121 | Reliance Industries | 34.03 |
150 | State Bank of India Group | 22.63 |
152 | Oil & Natural Gas Corp | 24.04 |
207 | Indian Oil Corp Ltd | 51.66 |
317 | NTPC | 9.63 |
329 | ICICI Bank | 15.06 |
463 | Tata Steel | 32.77 |
508 | Bharti Airtel | 6.73 |
582 | Steel Authority of India | 9.82 |
689 | Reliance Communications | 4.26 |
Contributed by FinManAc at 9:13 AM 0 comments
Labels: Banks, Corporate World News, Forbes, Forbes 2000, India, ranking, Top 10, World
May 3, 2009
Financial institutions with highest revenues in world
Company | Industry | Sales ($bil) | |
1 | ING Group | Insurance | 213.99 |
2 | Fortis | Diversified Fin. | 164.37 |
3 | AXA Group | Insurance | 156.95 |
4 | HSBC Holdings | Banking | 142.05 |
5 | Allianz | Insurance | 127.24 |
6 | Deutsche Bank | Diversified Fin. | 124.78 |
7 | Generali Group | Insurance | 118.39 |
8 | Bank of America | Banking | 113.11 |
9 | BNP Paribas | Banking | 107.96 |
10 | Berkshire Hathaway | Diversified Fin. | 107.79 |
11 | Crédit Agricole | Banking | 107.75 |
12 | Citigroup | Banking | 106.66 |
13 | JPMorgan Chase | Banking | 101.49 |
14 | Société Générale | Banking | 99.25 |
While the world's top three companies Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, and Wal-Mart have annual sales more than 400 billion dollars, the biggest financial institution, insurance major - ING Group generates about half the revenues. In the banking sector this is even lower with the biggest being HSBC holdings at 142 billion dollars.
For the complete list of 2000 companies, please visit Forbes.
Contributed by FinManAc at 4:11 AM 0 comments
Top 10 banks by assets (2009)
Rank | Company | Country | Assets ($bil) |
1 | Royal Bank of Scotland | United Kingdom | 3491 |
2 | Barclays | United Kingdom | 2948 |
3 | Deutsche Bank | Germany | 2947 |
4 | BNP Paribas | France | 2889 |
5 | HSBC Holdings | United Kingdom | 2520 |
6 | JPMorgan Chase | United States | 2175 |
7 | Crédit Agricole | France | 2064 |
8 | Citigroup | United States | 1939 |
9 | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | Japan | 1931 |
10 | UBS | Switzerland | 1899 |
Source: Forbes, Google Finance, Reuters.
Contributed by FinManAc at 2:28 AM 0 comments
Labels: Assets, Banks, Forbes, Forbes 2000, ranking, Top 10, World
May 2, 2009
Top 10 banks of the world by market capitalization (April 2009)
Bank | Country | Mkt Cap on Apr 30, 2009 |
Indl & Coml Bank of China | China | 197 |
China Construction Bank | China | 133 |
JP Morgan Chase | US | 124 |
HSBC | UK | 123 |
Bank of China | China | 120 |
Wells Fargo | US | 85 |
Banco Santander | Spain | 73 |
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | Japan | 63 |
Goldman Sachs | US | 59 |
Bank of America | US | 57 |
Contributed by FinManAc at 11:52 AM 0 comments
Labels: Banking, Banks, Market Capitalization, Top 10
Apr 27, 2009
52 Banks in America failed in last one year
Month | No. of banks failure |
Apr-09 | 8 |
Mar-09 | 5 |
Feb-09 | 10 |
Jan-09 | 6 |
Dec-08 | 3 |
Nov-08 | 5 |
Oct-08 | 4 |
Sep-08 | 3 |
Aug-08 | 3 |
Jul-08 | 3 |
May-08 | 2 |
Total since May 2008 | 52 |
These banks combined had an asset size of 388 billion USD. The failure had cost about 2 billion dollars to the FDIC Deposit Insurance Fund.
Washington Mutual was the biggest of them all with 307 billion dollar assets in its balance sheet. Before the failure it was the sixth largest bank in US. The panic started in Washington Mutual when about 16 billion dollars were withdrawn from the bank during 10 day bank-run. This was about 9% of the size of the total deposits in the bank. However, the pain was avoided by the sale of the bank to JP Morgan Chase (JPMC). This failure was the largest in the history of America.
The second biggest bank to fail during the year was IndyMac Bank with 32 billion dollars of assets. This was the fourth largest bank failure in American history. The failure cost FDIC about 9 billion USD.
About FDIC
"The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) preserves and promotes public confidence in the U.S. financial system by insuring deposits in banks and thrift institutions for at least $250,000; by identifying, monitoring and addressing risks to the deposit insurance funds; and by limiting the effect on the economy and the financial system when a bank or thrift institution fails."
Contributed by FinManAc at 9:54 AM 0 comments
Labels: Balance Sheet, Bank Failure, Banking, Banking News, FDIC, Financial Crisis, US Banks
Apr 25, 2009
Fed Stress test for 19 biggest US Financial Institutions
Name of Finanical Institution | P/E | Market Cap (Billion USD) | Code |
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. | 58.6 | 125.4 | JPM |
Wells Fargo & Co. | 7.8 | 90.8 | WFC |
Goldman Sachs Group | 27.1 | 61.0 | GS |
Bank of America Corp. | 12.0 | 58.2 | BAC |
US Bancorp | 16.5 | 33.4 | USB |
Bank of NY Mellon Corp. | 27.4 | 30.9 | BN |
American Express Co. | 13.3 | 29.3 | AXP |
MetLife | 6.4 | 24.0 | MET |
Morgan Stanley | - | 23.8 | MS |
PNC Financial Services Group | 18.0 | 19.2 | PNC |
Citigroup | - | 17.6 | C |
State Street Corp. | 9.4 | 16.1 | STT |
BB&T Corp. | 9.7 | 13.1 | BBT |
Capital One Financial Corp. | - | 7.5 | COF |
SunTrust Banks Inc. | 18.3 | 5.7 | STI |
Regions Financial Corp. | - | 3.9 | RF |
Keycorp | - | 3.5 | KEY |
Fifth Third Bancorp | - | 2.1 | FITB |
GMAC LLC | - | - |
Resources:
The Fed's press release
The Fed's stress testing methodology
Contributed by FinManAc at 7:31 AM 0 comments
Labels: Capital Adequacy, Financial Crisis, Financial Institutions, Market Capitalization, Stress Test, US Banks
Apr 21, 2009
World's top 6 safest banks are still the safest!!
2009 | 2008 | 2006 | 2004 | Bank | Country |
1 | 4 | 3 | KfW Group | Germany | |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations | France |
3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten | Netherlands |
4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | Landwirtschaftliche Rentenbank | Germany |
5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | Rabobank | Netherlands |
6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | Landeskreditbank Baden-Wuerttemberg - Foerderbank | Germany |
The size of the balance sheet of these safest banks is however not of the order of the biggest banks like RBS, Deutsche bank, etc.
Bank | Total Assets billion USD |
KfW Group | 521 |
Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations | 289 |
Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten | 136 |
Landwirtschaftliche Rentenbank | 131 |
Rabobank | 840 |
Landeskreditbank Baden-Wuerttemberg - Foerderbank | 87 |
A comparison with the biggest banks:
Bank | Total Assets billion USD |
Royal Bank of Scotland Group | 3,807 |
Deutsche Bank Group | 2,974 |
BNP Paribas | 2,494 |
Barclays | 2,459 |
HSBC | 2,354 |
The asset data is as on Dec 31, 2007.
Source: Global Finance
Contributed by FinManAc at 10:24 AM 0 comments
Labels: Bank, Banking, Corporate World News, Safest Banks, Top 10, World
Apr 20, 2009
Despite decline in oil prices Exxon Mobil replaces Wal-Mart as biggest company in 2008
2008 Rank | 2009 Rank | Company | Revenues billion $ |
2 | 1 | Exxon Mobil | 443 |
1 | 2 | Wal-Mart Stores | 406 |
3 | 3 | Chevron | 263 |
5 | 4 | ConocoPhillips | 231 |
6 | 5 | General Electric | 183 |
4 | 6 | General Motors | 149 |
7 | 7 | Ford Motor | 146 |
10 | 8 | AT&T | 124 |
14 | 9 | Hewlett-Packard | 118 |
16 | 10 | Valero Energy | 118 |
Company | Revenues (bil $) | |||
2009 | 2008 | growth | ||
1 | Exxon Mobil | 443 | 373 | 19% |
2 | Wal-Mart Stores | 406 | 379 | 7% |
3 | Chevron | 263 | 211 | 25% |
4 | ConocoPhillips | 231 | 179 | 29% |
5 | General Electric | 183 | 177 | 4% |
6 | General Motors | 149 | 182 | -18% |
7 | Ford Motor | 146 | 172 | -15% |
8 | AT&T | 124 | 119 | 4% |
9 | Hewlett-Packard | 118 | 104 | 13% |
10 | Valero Energy | 118 | 97 | 22% |
The profit figures give a better indication of the state of the economy with 4 out of 6 companies suffering losses. While GM and Ford continued their losses from last year, the other two loss reporting firms were impacted by the slowdown in this year only.
Rank | Company | Profits (bil $) | ||
2009 | 2008 | growth | ||
1 | Exxon Mobil | 45 | 41 | 11% |
2 | Wal-Mart Stores | 13 | 13 | 5% |
3 | Chevron | 24 | 19 | 28% |
4 | ConocoPhillips | -17 | 12 | -243% |
5 | General Electric | 17 | 22 | -22% |
6 | General Motors | -31 | -39 | - |
7 | Ford Motor | -15 | -3 | - |
8 | AT&T | 13 | 12 | 8% |
9 | Hewlett-Packard | 8 | 7 | 15% |
10 | Valero Energy | -1 | 5 | -122% |
For the full list of Fortune 500 companies, please visit Fortune 500.