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Showing posts with label Financial Institutions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Financial Institutions. Show all posts

Jul 12, 2009

Huge write downs (~ £21 billion) waiting for Lloyds Banking Group

Lloyds Banking Group plc (erstwhile Lloyds TSB Group plc) is expected to write off as much as £21 billion of bad debt from its books in the year 2009. The H1 2009 (Jan – June) results which are likely to be declared by July end or early August are expected to show more losses than in the previous year same period. The losses will be mainly because of the high provisions which the bank is expected to make. According to an estimate the write-offs to be made in the H1 2009 will be more than that made by HBOS and Lloyds TSB combined in 2008. The huge write down in one of the biggest banking group of United Kingdom (UK) indicates that the banking system is yet to stabilize.

The UK Government has invested £50bn so far in Lloyds and RBS, but that could rise when Lloyds joins the asset protection scheme. At present, the state's stakes are worth £7.5bn and £14.3bn. Notably, UK Financial Investments (UKFI), the agency that manages the stakes for the Treasury, holds a majority stake in the company (43 per cent of Lloyds) following the government support. This holding could rise even higher, as the bank issue shares to insure its bad loans with the Government. However, the Treasury is hoping that it can recover its investment, although it may have to wait for some more time. When things will improve, UKFI plans to sell its stake and return the bank to the private sector. Any such share sale will have to be spread over several years in order to prevent huge share inflow into the system.

In 2008, Lloyds had acquired HBOS for about £12 billion. The deal was backed out by UK government to prevent collapse of the banking system. However, Lloyds shareholders saw wealth erosion after a £15 billion 'black hole' was discovered in HBOS accounts. Many of the Lloyds shareholders’ are skeptical of a possible government-bank nexus behind this deal as they lose a huge portion of their holdings (about 85 per cent). Furious Lloyds shareholders have demanded transcripts of secret negotiations between Mr Brown and the bank's chairman Sir Victor Blank last July and September.

About Lloyds Banking Group plc

Lloyds TSB Group plc was renamed Lloyds Banking Group plc on 19 January 2009, following the acquisition of HBOS plc. The group owns the Lloyds TSB brand which is one of the largest retail bank in the UK brand and came into existence in 1995 by the merger of Lloyds Bank and the Trustee Savings Bank (TSB Bank).

Under the UK government Asset Protection Scheme announced on March 7 Lloyds has to provide a total of £14 billion of additional lending in the period up to 1 March 2010 to boost the spending and investment activities which could be vital in avoiding a prolonged recession.

May 10, 2009

Results of Stress tests - who sailed through and who needs more capital

The results of the SCAP were out on 7th May 2009 and the 19 Bank Holding Companies will require an additional 74.6 billion dollars to make the financial system sail through without collapse if the economic situation worsens.
Here's the summary of results:
Bank Additional capital needed
(billion dollars)
AmEx 0
BofA 33.9
BB&T 0
BNYM 0
CapOne 0
Citi 5.5
FifthThird 1.1
GMAC 11.5
Goldman Sachs 0
JPMC 0
KeyCorp 1.8
MetLife 0
Morgan Stanley 1.8
PNC 0.6
Regions 2.5
State Street 0
SunTrust 2.2
US Bancorp 0
Wells Fargo 13.7
Total 74.6

Apr 25, 2009

Fed Stress test for 19 biggest US Financial Institutions

US Federal Reserve is putting the 19 biggest US financial institutions under stress test to check their stability if the economic situation worsens. Those under the stress test along with their P/E and market capitalization as on 24 April 2009 are listed below:

Name of Finanical Institution P/E Market Cap (Billion USD) Code
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. 58.6 125.4 JPM
Wells Fargo & Co. 7.8 90.8 WFC
Goldman Sachs Group 27.1 61.0 GS
Bank of America Corp. 12.0 58.2 BAC
US Bancorp 16.5 33.4 USB
Bank of NY Mellon Corp. 27.4 30.9 BN
American Express Co. 13.3 29.3 AXP
MetLife 6.4 24.0 MET
Morgan Stanley - 23.8 MS
PNC Financial Services Group 18.0 19.2 PNC
Citigroup - 17.6 C
State Street Corp. 9.4 16.1 STT
BB&T Corp. 9.7 13.1 BBT
Capital One Financial Corp. - 7.5 COF
SunTrust Banks Inc. 18.3 5.7 STI
Regions Financial Corp. - 3.9 RF
Keycorp - 3.5 KEY
Fifth Third Bancorp - 2.1 FITB
GMAC LLC - -

The stress test which is aimed at assessing the capital adequacy of the major financial institutions under various scenarios comes under the SCAP (The Supervisory Capital Assessment Program). The banks that perform poorly under this stress test will be asked to increase their capital and will come under pressure from the investors. Fed has also released a 21 page document stating the methodology which it will use for the stress testing these institutions. The results of the test will start coming after May 4, 2009. One reason behind Fed stating the methodology 10 days in advance is to prevent any shock to the investors. The press release about the methodology was done about an hour after the closing of the US market for the weekend, thus giving analysts time to analyse and digest the information.

Resources:
The Fed's press release
The Fed's stress testing methodology