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Showing posts with label US Banks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US Banks. Show all posts

Jun 4, 2010

Banks failures continue in 2010, pose risk for economic recovery

The financial crisis had severe repercussion on the banking systems in America. The number of banks that have failed in the country in the last two years (2009 and 2010) is much higher than the number of bank failure in the rest of the 2000-2010 decade.

Overall about 270 banks have failed since October 2000 out of which 173 have failed in the last one year (July 2009 to May 2010). The number is 238 for the last two year period (July 2008 to May 2010). To give a perspective of how big the scale is the total number of FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) insured institution as on May 2010 were 7895. So the number of banks that have failed in the last two years is about 3% of the total number.




What is a bank failure?
Bank failure is basically closure of a bank’s operations mainly by the regulators because the bank is likely to face insolvency and the risk of the bank being unable to meet its financial obligation towards depositors and creditors are high. This arises due to erosion in the market value of the assets owned by the bank leading to lower capital (net worth) of the bank. If the market value of assets of a bank becomes lower than the market value of liabilities, the net worth becomes negative and the bank even if it liquidates all its assets will not be able to pay the depositors and creditors. The regulators generally look at the capital ratio as a sign for a probable bank failure. If there is a high probability of negative net worth of a bank, it is better to declare the bank failure because if the bank keeps on operating those depositors who have the information about the bank’s weak position will withdraw their money leaving even lesser capital for the less informed depositors. The major loss will then have to be taken by the remaining depositors.

Contagion effects associated with a bank failure
Failure of a single bank can lead to a string of such failures and shake the entire financial system as the banks are closely intertwined with many cross exposures. Failure of one bank can result in capital erosion for other banks thereby triggering a chain reaction which could over a short time spill over to a large number of banks. The impact of the current bank failures can be estimated by FDIC estimate that another 700 banks are at risk of failure.

Role of regulators to shield the financial system
Due to domino effect associated with a weak bank, the role of regulators becomes very important. In United States, FDIC takes over the weak bank to reduce its impact from the system. The bank's assets are seized and liquidated/sold to other banks and the depositors are paid the insurance up to deposit insurance limit which is currently $250,000.

An example of a big bank failing
Washington Mutual Bank (WaMu) is the largest bank failure so far. Founded in 1889, the American bank had annual revenues of about $16 billion before its failure in 2008. WaMu faced bank run after news of its weak capital position spread. In 10 day time about $16 billion dollars of deposits were withdrawn. The regulators took over the bank to prevent systemic risk to the whole system. Later, its assets were sold to JP Morgan Chase.

May 10, 2009

Results of Stress tests - who sailed through and who needs more capital

The results of the SCAP were out on 7th May 2009 and the 19 Bank Holding Companies will require an additional 74.6 billion dollars to make the financial system sail through without collapse if the economic situation worsens.
Here's the summary of results:
Bank Additional capital needed
(billion dollars)
AmEx 0
BofA 33.9
BB&T 0
BNYM 0
CapOne 0
Citi 5.5
FifthThird 1.1
GMAC 11.5
Goldman Sachs 0
JPMC 0
KeyCorp 1.8
MetLife 0
Morgan Stanley 1.8
PNC 0.6
Regions 2.5
State Street 0
SunTrust 2.2
US Bancorp 0
Wells Fargo 13.7
Total 74.6

Apr 27, 2009

52 Banks in America failed in last one year

According to the data by FDIC(Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) 52 banks have failed in the last one year, one failure per week on an average. This, once again, highlights the gravity of the crisis, and its impact on the financial institutions across the United States.

Month
No. of banks failure
Apr-09 8
Mar-09 5
Feb-09 10
Jan-09 6
Dec-08 3
Nov-08 5
Oct-08 4
Sep-08 3
Aug-08 3
Jul-08 3
May-08 2
Total since May 2008
52

These banks combined had an asset size of 388 billion USD. The failure had cost about 2 billion dollars to the FDIC Deposit Insurance Fund.

Washington Mutual was the biggest of them all with 307 billion dollar assets in its balance sheet. Before the failure it was the sixth largest bank in US. The panic started in Washington Mutual when about 16 billion dollars were withdrawn from the bank during 10 day bank-run. This was about 9% of the size of the total deposits in the bank. However, the pain was avoided by the sale of the bank to JP Morgan Chase (JPMC). This failure was the largest in the history of America.

The second biggest bank to fail during the year was IndyMac Bank with 32 billion dollars of assets. This was the fourth largest bank failure in American history. The failure cost FDIC about 9 billion USD.

About FDIC
"The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) preserves and promotes public confidence in the U.S. financial system by insuring deposits in banks and thrift institutions for at least $250,000; by identifying, monitoring and addressing risks to the deposit insurance funds; and by limiting the effect on the economy and the financial system when a bank or thrift institution fails."


Apr 25, 2009

Fed Stress test for 19 biggest US Financial Institutions

US Federal Reserve is putting the 19 biggest US financial institutions under stress test to check their stability if the economic situation worsens. Those under the stress test along with their P/E and market capitalization as on 24 April 2009 are listed below:

Name of Finanical Institution P/E Market Cap (Billion USD) Code
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. 58.6 125.4 JPM
Wells Fargo & Co. 7.8 90.8 WFC
Goldman Sachs Group 27.1 61.0 GS
Bank of America Corp. 12.0 58.2 BAC
US Bancorp 16.5 33.4 USB
Bank of NY Mellon Corp. 27.4 30.9 BN
American Express Co. 13.3 29.3 AXP
MetLife 6.4 24.0 MET
Morgan Stanley - 23.8 MS
PNC Financial Services Group 18.0 19.2 PNC
Citigroup - 17.6 C
State Street Corp. 9.4 16.1 STT
BB&T Corp. 9.7 13.1 BBT
Capital One Financial Corp. - 7.5 COF
SunTrust Banks Inc. 18.3 5.7 STI
Regions Financial Corp. - 3.9 RF
Keycorp - 3.5 KEY
Fifth Third Bancorp - 2.1 FITB
GMAC LLC - -

The stress test which is aimed at assessing the capital adequacy of the major financial institutions under various scenarios comes under the SCAP (The Supervisory Capital Assessment Program). The banks that perform poorly under this stress test will be asked to increase their capital and will come under pressure from the investors. Fed has also released a 21 page document stating the methodology which it will use for the stress testing these institutions. The results of the test will start coming after May 4, 2009. One reason behind Fed stating the methodology 10 days in advance is to prevent any shock to the investors. The press release about the methodology was done about an hour after the closing of the US market for the weekend, thus giving analysts time to analyse and digest the information.

Resources:
The Fed's press release
The Fed's stress testing methodology