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May 10, 2009

Results of Stress tests - who sailed through and who needs more capital

The results of the SCAP were out on 7th May 2009 and the 19 Bank Holding Companies will require an additional 74.6 billion dollars to make the financial system sail through without collapse if the economic situation worsens.
Here's the summary of results:
Bank Additional capital needed
(billion dollars)
AmEx 0
BofA 33.9
BB&T 0
BNYM 0
CapOne 0
Citi 5.5
FifthThird 1.1
GMAC 11.5
Goldman Sachs 0
JPMC 0
KeyCorp 1.8
MetLife 0
Morgan Stanley 1.8
PNC 0.6
Regions 2.5
State Street 0
SunTrust 2.2
US Bancorp 0
Wells Fargo 13.7
Total 74.6

Top 10 Hedge fund management firms by assets under management

Bridgewater Associates 1
JPMorgan 2
Paulson & Co. 3
D. E. Shaw 4
Brevan Howard 5
Och-Ziff Capital Management 6
Man AHL 7
Soros Fund Management 8
Goldman Sachs 9
Renaissance Technologies 10

Hedge Fund Industry size falls sharply in last one year

From a peak of 1.93 trillion dollars in mid of 2008, the hedge fund industry size is reduced to merely 1.33 trillion dollars owing to the credit crunch and macro-economic situation.




















The 'Funds of funds' industry has also come down sharply from 825 billion dollars in mid 2008 to 525 billion dollars at the end of first quarter of 2009.

The fall in assets size is partly due to trading losses and partly due to investors pulling out money from these funds.

These are the data from Hedge Fund Research (HFR) as available on in the publicly available news articles across the internet. Due to the ambiguity of the breadth of the hedge fund and the voluntary nature of data disclosure these may be different from those published by other research firms.

Top 10 global financial centres

As of March 2009, the following is the ranking of the top financial centres of the world as published by GFCI (Global Financial Centres Index):

The GFCI is published by City of London Corporation every March. The full report by GFCI can be found at ZYEN.


Rank GFCI rating
London 1 781
New York 2 768
Singapore 3 687
Hong Kong 4 684
Zurich 5 659
Geneva 6 638
Chicago 7 638
Frankfurt 8 633
Boston 9 618
Dublin 10 618

London, the financial hub of the world, has been at the helm since long time. London, also the banking centre of the world, has headquarters of more than 100 of European's 500 biggest companies.

The rise and fall and rise of oil prices

The oil prices have been very volatile lately. According to the data published by Energy Information Administration, U.S., the Europe Brent spot price has touched a daily average high of $143.95 per barrel on July 3, 2007 during the bull phase and then fallen to a low of $33.73 per barrel on Dec 26, 2008. The fall from the peak has been quite steep and was triggered with the slowdown in the demand of oil owing to the economic recession and credit crunch.
The chart below summarizes the journey of the oil prices.




























Source of Data: EIA

May 8, 2009

India's most reputable companies - 2009 Forbes ranking

Forbes has published the list of top 200 most reputable companies in world. The list is available at Forbes website.

In the list there were following 17 Indian companies with Tata group at the helm:




Company Global Rank Industry
Tata 11 Conglomerate
State Bank of India 29 Banking
Infosys Technologies 39 Computer
Larsen & Toubro 47 Construction/Engineering
Maruti Udyog 49 Automotive
Hindustan Unilever 69 Consumer Products
ITC Limited 95 Conglomerate
Canara Bank 102 Banking
Hindustan Petroleum 111 Energy
Indian Oil 112 Energy
Wipro 116 Computer
Reliance Group 132 Conglomerate
Mahindra & Mahindra 137 Automotive
Bharti Airtel . 163 Telecommunications
Bank of Baroda 174 Banking
Bharat Petroleum 175 Energy
Punjab National Bank 177 Banking

Source: Forbes

May 6, 2009

Bank of America needs 34 billion USD to pass Fed's stress test

America's largest bank, Bank of America, is reported to require additional 33.9 billion USD to meet the capital target set by Federal Reserve during the stress test. The stress test also known as Supervisory Capital Assessment Program (SCAP) was conducted by Fed on 19 biggest financial institutions to find out the capital that will be required if the recession becomes deeper. The results of the test are expected to start coming from this week onwards. Speculation is rife that most of the banks will need additional capital to pass the test.

BofA had about 240 billion dollars of shareholder's equity capital as on 31st March 2009. This was about 10.3% of its total assets (2.3 trillion dollars). Since 2007 BofA has increased its shareholder's capital significantly to deal with the financial crisis and economic recession. However, if the macro-economic situation worsens in near term BofA would require still more capital as the results of SCAP of Fed would show.

According to a ews article by UK's 'The Guardian', BofA could sell a part of its stake in Chinese bank 'China Construction Bank' (CCB). The stake sale could fetch BofA about 8 billion USD. Even with this sale, BofA will have to garner the remaining 26 billion USD from other sources. In case of no other option left, it may have to convert some of the government's prefferred shares to common shares, thereby diluting the existing shareholder's stake.

May 5, 2009

Small banks continue to fail in US

Three banks have been reported to fail in the first day of May taking the total number of bank failure in this year 2009 to 32 in just 4 months and 5 days. The banks to fail this month were:
1. America West Bank, Layton
2. Citizens Community Bank, Ridgewood
3. Silverton Bank, N.A., Atlanta







The news was updated on FDIC's website on 5th May. The biggest of the three is Silverton with about 4 billion assets. The bank, on its website, has put up the following notice:
"Silverton Bank, N.A. is participating in the FDIC's Transaction Account Guarantee Program. Under that program, all noninterest-bearing transaction accounts are fully guaranteed by the FDIC for the entire amount in the account through December 31, 2009. Coverage under the Transaction Account Guarantee Program is in addition to and separate from the coverage available under the FDIC's general deposit insurance rules. Accounts that sweep into overnight Fed Funds are not considered non-interest bearing; therefore, they will not be covered under the FDIC’s Transaction Account Guarantee Program."

FDIC has created a bridge bank, Silverton Bridge Bank, to take over the operations of Silverton Bank. The bank will start its regular business from July 29, 2009.
The depositors will have the first priority followed by creditors and shareholders.

Details on the deposit insurance and other bank failure related information can be assessed from FDIC's website.

Top Bank holding companies in US by total domestic deposits

The biggest domestic deposit banks on June 30, 2008 as per the data published by FDIC were:
Bank Name Deposits
(Jun 2008)
billion $
BoA Corp 701.5
JP Morgan Chase 497.2
Wachovia 422.0
Wells Fargo 293.4
Citigroup 271.3
US Bancorp 127.8
Suntrust Bank 115.6
National City Corp 97.8
RBS 95.3
Toronto-Dominion Bank 89.8

Of these the last two were foreign banks. In all there were 12 foreign banks in the top 50 list.


Bank Name Deposits (Jun 2008) billion $
1 RBS Group 95.3
2 Toronto-Dominion Bank 89.8
3 HSBC Holdings 83.0
4 Banco Santander 53.8
5 BNP Paribas 43.9
6 Mitsubishi UFJ 42.0
7 BBVA 39.4
8 Allied Irish Bank 36.5
9 Bank of Montreal 29.1
10 UBS 24.4
11 Royal Bank of Canada 17.8
12


Source:
Deutsche Bank


FDIC
15.2



May 4, 2009

47 Indian companies in Forbes 2000 List

The following 47 companies have figured into the Forbes 2000 list:

Company Sector
Reliance Industries Oil & Gas Operations
SBI Banking
ONGC Oil & Gas Operations
IOCL Oil & Gas Operations
NTPC Utilities
ICICI Bank Banking
Tata Steel Materials
Bharti Airtel Telecommunications
SAIL Materials
Reliance Communications Telecommunications Services
L&T Capital Goods
BPCL Oil & Gas Operations
BHEL Capital Goods
HDFC Banking
TCS Software & Services
Hindalco Industries Materials
HDFC Bank Banking
DLF Diversified Financials
Infosys Technologies Software & Services
Punjab National Bank Banking
ITC Food, Drink & Tobacco
Wipro Software & Services
Bank of India Banking
HPCL Oil & Gas Operations
GAIL (India) Utilities
NMDC Materials
Canara Bank Banking
Power Grid of India Utilities
Tata Motors Capital Goods
Bank of Baroda Banking
Power Finance Finance
Axis Bank Banking
Union Bank of India Banking
Grasim Industries Construction
Indian Overseas Bank Banking
Sun Pharma Industries Drugs & Biotechnology
Mahindra & Mahindra Consumer Durables
Allahabad Bank Banking
Indian Bank Banking
Syndicate Bank Banking
IDBI Bank Banking
Central Bank of India Banking
Jindal Steel & Power Materials
National Aluminium Materials
Oriental Bank of Commerce Banking
UCO Bank Banking
Hero Honda Motors Consumer Durables


Rank Companies Sales (b $)
121 Reliance Industries 34.03
150 State Bank of India Group 22.63
152 Oil & Natural Gas Corp
24.04
207 Indian Oil Corp Ltd
51.66
317 NTPC 9.63
329 ICICI Bank 15.06
463 Tata Steel 32.77
508 Bharti Airtel 6.73
582 Steel Authority of India 9.82
689 Reliance Communications 4.26

Forbes global 2000 list is published every year and takes into consideration the assets, sales, profits, and market capitalization of the corporations.
Source: Forbes

May 3, 2009

Financial institutions with highest revenues in world

Once again from the Forbes 2000 list(published on 8th April 2009), the biggest turnover companies in the Financial services domain are as follows:

Company Industry Sales ($bil)
1 ING Group Insurance 213.99
2 Fortis Diversified Fin. 164.37
3 AXA Group Insurance 156.95
4 HSBC Holdings Banking 142.05
5 Allianz Insurance 127.24
6 Deutsche Bank Diversified Fin. 124.78
7 Generali Group Insurance 118.39
8 Bank of America Banking 113.11
9 BNP Paribas Banking 107.96
10 Berkshire Hathaway Diversified Fin. 107.79
11 Crédit Agricole Banking 107.75
12 Citigroup Banking 106.66
13 JPMorgan Chase Banking 101.49
14 Société Générale
Banking 99.25

While the world's top three companies Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil, and Wal-Mart have annual sales more than 400 billion dollars, the biggest financial institution, insurance major - ING Group generates about half the revenues. In the banking sector this is even lower with the biggest being HSBC holdings at 142 billion dollars.
For the complete list of 2000 companies, please visit Forbes.

Top 10 banks by assets (2009)

About two months back when I had tried compiling a list of world's top banks by asssets, the task was not easy. The main reasons being that full year results of all companies were not out. Also, all the firms don't report their numbers in dollars using a point-in-time exchange rates was debatable. However, recently Forbes had published the list of world's top 2000 companies. Great!, so now I know who stands where without much efforts :). If we go by the Forbes numbers (which I beleive should be correct), the top 10 companies in the whole world when put in the order of their balance sheet size are as follows:

Rank Company Country Assets
($bil)
1 Royal Bank of Scotland United Kingdom 3491
2 Barclays United Kingdom 2948
3 Deutsche Bank Germany 2947
4 BNP Paribas France 2889
5 HSBC Holdings United Kingdom 2520
6 JPMorgan Chase United States 2175
7 Crédit Agricole France 2064
8 Citigroup United States 1939
9 Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Japan 1931
10 UBS Switzerland 1899

No surprise these are all banks or financial institutions. Banks have a slightly different way of accounting and the public deposits form a significant part of their assets. As a matter of fact in the top 50 companies only two companies, GE(ranked 28th) and Deutsche Post (ranked 49th), are outside the financial domain. While GE's presence in top 50 was expected, Deutsche Post at 49th position was a bit of surprise for me.

For the complete list of 2000 companies, please visit Forbes.
Source: Forbes, Google Finance, Reuters.

May 2, 2009

Top 10 banks of the world by market capitalization (April 2009)

Bank Country Mkt Cap on Apr 30, 2009
Indl & Coml Bank of China China 197
China Construction Bank China 133
JP Morgan Chase US 124
HSBC UK 123
Bank of China China 120
Wells Fargo US 85
Banco Santander Spain 73
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Japan 63
Goldman Sachs US 59
Bank of America US 57